Agent #74Agent #1477Agent #1176Agent #1513Agent #1602Agent #343Agent #1617Agent #248Agent #793Agent #1777Agent #362Agent #684Agent #1413Agent #879Agent #1585Agent #380Agent #905Agent #1948Agent #507Agent #1229Agent #1067Agent #1663Agent #1770Agent #1542Agent #457Agent #1175Agent #236Agent #1763Agent #931Agent #1798Agent #1884Agent #1565Agent #1926Agent #1111Agent #162Agent #897Agent #1233Agent #1356Agent #1338Agent #1937Agent #1520Agent #32Agent #1989Agent #1430Agent #1201Agent #1896Agent #526Agent #464Agent #1851Agent #456and 76 more126 agents, 92 answers so far, 31 working
The answer so far
92 answers in. The report comes last.
The swarm
Items, page by page →Round 1
Agent #1548 planned it. Started 7 min after the job was posted.
Round 2
Agent #1299 planned it.
Round 4
Agent #1548 planned it.
Round 5
Agent #1299 planned it.
Round 7
Agent #1299 planned it.
Round 9e01-evaluator-check1 of 1 backe01-mechanism-pilots4 of 4 backe01-mechanism-designs2 of 2 backe02-board-fit2 of 2 backe02-search-share2 of 2 backe02-search-arbside2 of 2 backe02-search-regime2 of 2 backe03-confirm-v102 of 2 backe03-v10-floor2 of 2 backe03-v10-blend2 of 2 backe03-v10-retail2 of 2 backe03-restable2 of 2 backe03-horizon2 of 2 backe03-shadow2 of 2 backe04-retail-state2 of 2 backe04-transition-policy2 of 2 backe04-band-transport2 of 2 backe04-continuation-design2 of 2 backe04-size-tail-design2 of 2 backe05-confirm-rs2 of 2 back, cancellede05-rs-search4 of 4 backe05-rs-ablate2 of 2 backe05-design-impl4 of 4 backe06-confirm-rs22 of 2 backe06-rs2-wide6 of 6 back, cancellede06-rs-side2 of 2 backe06-rs-post2 of 2 backe07-fork-mine11 of 12 backe07-public-search4 of 4 backe07-run-anchor4 of 6 backe07-vol-flow1 of 2 backe07-lean-tail2 of 2 backe08-replica3 of 5 backe08-rs2-port1 of 4 backe08-vanilla-quote1 of 3 backe08-dual-anchor0 of 2 backe08-arb-skew0 of 2 backe08-sticky-dev0 of 2 backe08-arb-surge0 of 2 backe08-public-measure2 of 2 backe09-confirm-sigma0 of 2 backe09-confirm-act0 of 2 backe09-confirm-tox0 of 2 backe09-combine-anchors0 of 2 backe09-head-gas0 of 2 backe09-learn-head0 of 3 back
Agent #1548 planned it.
1 stepOrchestrate 009Agent #1548made 1 file
Created and validated decisions.json: 6 batches, 13 items, and 30 result reads.
Left untracked. No other files changed.
ran oncodex · gpt-6-astra · 5 turns · 14m 21s · 127.6K in · 26.1K out · 1.9M cachedsubmissionb9feaebff73b4220cb1096d11812a030902eba9b121e012128bb16a54119b714device35c52a5b502e847cda633d436a25cd57d809a4ea7935560acc2b18eccfd592acstarted from0243d7da4a4337ae8b16bcdf15bb4ead736fd68fbundlenoneverifiedrebuilt and matched · verifier 0.1.0 ·made · 1 fileartifacts/goal/episodes/009/decisions.json · 33 KBmay writeartifacts/goal/episodes/009/**
e01-evaluator-check, item by iteme01-mechanism-pilots, item by iteme01-mechanism-designs, item by iteme02-board-fit, item by iteme02-search-share, item by iteme02-search-arbside, item by iteme02-search-regime, item by iteme03-confirm-v10, item by iteme03-v10-floor, item by iteme03-v10-blend, item by iteme03-v10-retail, item by iteme03-restable, item by iteme03-horizon, item by iteme03-shadow, item by iteme04-retail-state, item by iteme04-transition-policy, item by iteme04-band-transport, item by iteme04-continuation-design, item by iteme04-size-tail-design, item by iteme05-confirm-rs, item by iteme05-rs-search, item by iteme05-rs-ablate, item by iteme05-design-impl, item by iteme06-confirm-rs2, item by iteme06-rs2-wide, item by iteme06-rs-side, item by iteme06-rs-post, item by iteme07-fork-mine, item by iteme07-public-search, item by iteme07-run-anchor, item by iteme07-vol-flow, item by iteme07-lean-tail, item by iteme08-replica, item by iteme08-rs2-port, item by iteme08-vanilla-quote, item by iteme08-dual-anchor, item by iteme08-arb-skew, item by iteme08-sticky-dev, item by iteme08-arb-surge, item by iteme08-public-measure, item by iteme09-confirm-sigma, item by iteme09-confirm-act, item by iteme09-confirm-tox, item by iteme09-combine-anchors, item by iteme09-head-gas, item by iteme09-learn-head, item by item
- Working31 agents, 3 silent for over 10 min
bAgent #1765
Setup ok. Fetch artifacts.
Brewing…cloning the base repository
running claude on claude-opus-5-5
claude reports claude-opus-5-5
rate limit cleared
Setup ok. Fetch artifacts.
cAgent #1
claude reports claude-opus-5-5
Scouting…cloning the base repository
running claude on claude-opus-5-5
claude reports claude-opus-5-5
bAgent #97
rate limit cleared
Piecing together…cloning the base repository
running claude
claude reports claude-sonnet-5-5
rate limit cleared
aAgent #414
I’ll set up the pinned simulator in the scratch area, fetch RS2 and the harness, and check calibration before training the fee head.
Calibrating…cloning the base repository
running codex
I’ll set up the pinned simulator in the scratch area, fetch RS2 and the harness, and check calibration before training the fee head.
bAgent #894
So far, the mechanism has changed edge by hundredths. The search still has tighter-cap and higher-gain settings to test. The 1,000-seed CH calibration is also still running, and I’ll check its result against the supplied benchmark.
Tracing sources…The first search trial is testing arbitrage-only skew pushes with a 2× cleaned-size cap and 4× skew gain. Gas checks reset every 20 seeds; a candidate will be rejected for any halt, swap gas at or above 235,000, or initialization gas at or above 245,000.
The first 64-seed trial passed all gas and halt checks. Its paired gain was +0.0205 edge with SE 0.0331—too small to distinguish from noise on this block. The next trial keeps arbitrage-only weighting and 4× gain while widening the size cap from 2× to 8×.
The first candidate’s swap gas peaked at 199,818, below the 235,000 cutoff, and initialization remained at 243,099. I’ve prepared the confirmation runner to record the selected parameters and code hash before running any held-out seeds.
The 8× cap trial also passed, with a paired gain of +0.0359 edge and SE 0.0331. Both results are small and uncertain. The third trial restores some weight to retail prints (a=0.5) and uses a 2× skew gain.
The third trial (a=0.5, cap 2×, gain 2×) measured +0.0387 edge with SE 0.0217 and passed all checks. These gains remain small; the separate recheck and held-out blocks will determine whether any persist.
So far, the mechanism has changed edge by hundredths. The search still has tighter-cap and higher-gain settings to test. The 1,000-seed CH calibration is also still running, and I’ll check its result against the supplied benchmark.
- NextRound 10 plans what comes after, then the write-up.
- Publishedafter verification
150 agents at most, 9 notes
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Outputs
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