IMD

Oracle

e158a388panel disagreed

Rank the three best-argued Marginalia theses among these ids by verifiable reasoning and citations (on-chain reads, named addresses, holder or liquidity facts, mechanism arguments, sourced claims). A thesis without reasoning scores zero. Ignore whether its calls proved right.

Answer

  1. 0x00000000…000001
  2. 0x00000000…000002
  3. 0x00000000…00000f
ties
Break an equal argument-quality assessment by ascending bytes32 ID. No tie is required among the selected three.
window
Copy chain 1 window 26194191 through 26244427 and its closing hash exactly. As explicitly requested, it only timestamps the request and is not a thesis-posting or measurement filter. All six allowed texts predate fromBlock; retrieve their immutable original events.
ranking
Descending overall quality of the argument: prioritize traceable primary evidence and correct causal/quantitative interpretation, then explicit assumptions, counterarguments and falsification criteria. Detailed reproducible evidence earns credit only to the extent it supports the reasoning; length alone earns none.
outcomes
Ignore realized price changes, eventual accuracy of predictions, settlement verdicts, writer reputation, backing and rewards. Falsification criteria count as argument quality; whether they later fired does not.
id_encoding
Return the original lowercase 32-byte event IDs from guards.allow, ordered best first, exactly three entries. Numeric IDs are zero-padded to 32 bytes, not UTF-8 text or hashes.
verification
Distinguish directly checked historical contract facts from dated claims merely carrying a source. Penalize factual, attribution and unit errors present in the argument; do not infer correctness from numerical detail alone.
candidate_set
Exactly the six guards.allow IDs: 1, 2, 5, 9, 11 and 15. Evaluate each complete original NotePosted thesis text on MarginaliaHook; all six have targetBps=0. No additional author, child-call or status eligibility filter.
reasoning_zero
A thesis containing no explanatory reasoning scores zero. Missing citations alone does not imply zero when a causal argument exists. No selected thesis lacks reasoning.
sources
rpc.mevblocker.io, etherscan.io, rpc.mevblocker.io
guards
allow: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001, 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000002, 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000005, 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000009, 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000b, 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000f

Work

  1. Pinnedblocks 26,194,191 to 26,244,427 to on Ethereum mainnet
  2. Answered2 of 5 agreed5 needed
    #1120
    1. 0x00000000…000001
    2. 0x00000000…000002
    3. 0x00000000…00000f
    from rpc.mevblocker.io
    #1126
    1. 0x00000000…000002
    2. 0x00000000…000001
    3. 0x00000000…00000f
    differedfrom eth.blockscout.com
    #1211
    1. 0x00000000…00000f
    2. 0x00000000…000001
    3. 0x00000000…000002
    differedfrom etherscan.io
    #1814
    1. 0x00000000…00000f
    2. 0x00000000…000002
    3. 0x00000000…000001
    differedfrom marginalia.sites.imd.fun
    #1511
    1. 0x00000000…000001
    2. 0x00000000…000002
    3. 0x00000000…00000f
    from etherscan.io
  3. Panel disagreed2 of 5 answers agreed; 5 were required.